INTL454  - Forecasting Terrorism

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This course examines the processes involved in forecasting terrorism. The syllabus examines terrorism in general, actual and planned cases of chemical and biological weapons, and improvised weapons of mass destruction. It continues by differentiating the varying magnitudes of threat and effect of nuclear, radiological, biological, chemical and high explosive weapons, and analyzes terrorist precedent, strategy & psychology, from which terrorism forecasts and counter-terrorism activities are generated. It moves on to examine traditional and newer methods of forecasting terrorism: Intuition-based; profiling; conflict vulnerability analysis & prognosis (early warning); Atypical Signal Analysis & Processing (ASAP), and the Khalsa systematic Indications & Warning (I&W) methodology. It concludes with a brief overview of less conventional and known Military & Intelligence forecasting programs such as AMP (Anomalous Mental Phenomena): Remote Viewing and Psycho-kinesis (electron movement).

 

Prerequisites

N/A

Corequisites

N/A

Schedule of Classes

Registration Dates Course Dates Session
11/05/09 - 03/28/10 04/05/10 - 05/30/10 Spring 2010 Session B - 8 Week session
11/30/09 - 04/25/10 05/03/10 - 06/27/10 Spring 2010 Session I - 8 Week session
12/28/09 - 05/30/10 06/07/10 - 08/01/10 Spring 2010 Session D - 8 Week session
01/25/10 - 06/27/10 07/05/10 - 08/29/10 Summer 2010 Session B - 8 Week session
02/22/10 - 07/25/10 08/02/10 - 09/26/10 Summer 2010 Session I - 8 Week session
03/29/10 - 08/29/10 09/06/10 - 10/31/10 Summer 2010 Session D - 8 Week session
04/26/10 - 09/26/10 10/04/10 - 11/28/10 Fall 2010 Session B - 8 Week session
05/31/10 - 10/24/10 11/01/10 - 12/26/10 Fall 2010 Session I - 8 Week session
06/28/10 - 11/28/10 12/06/10 - 01/30/11 Fall 2010 Session D - 8 Week session

Course Materials

Book Title: Toxic Terror: Assessing Terrorist Use of Chemical and Biological Warfare
ISBN: 0262700719
Publication Info: Cambridge: MIT Press, 2000

Book Title: Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators And Proven Analytic Techniques
ISBN: 0810850176
Publication Info: Scarecrow Press; Lanham, MD, 2004

Book Title: Out of the Ordinary: Finding Hidden Threats by Analyzing Unusual Behavior-E-book available free on RAND site
ISBN: 0833035207
Publication Info: Rand, Santa Monica, CA, 2004

 
 
 

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