INTL454 - Forecasting Terrorism
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This course examines the processes involved in forecasting terrorism. The syllabus examines terrorism in general, actual and planned cases of chemical and biological weapons, and improvised weapons of mass destruction. It continues by differentiating the varying magnitudes of threat and effect of nuclear, radiological, biological, chemical and high explosive weapons, and analyzes terrorist precedent, strategy & psychology, from which terrorism forecasts and counter-terrorism activities are generated. It moves on to examine traditional and newer methods of forecasting terrorism: Intuition-based; profiling; conflict vulnerability analysis & prognosis (early warning); Atypical Signal Analysis & Processing (ASAP), and the Khalsa systematic Indications & Warning (I&W) methodology. It concludes with a brief overview of less conventional and known Military & Intelligence forecasting programs such as AMP (Anomalous Mental Phenomena): Remote Viewing and Psycho-kinesis (electron movement).
Prerequisites
N/A
Corequisites
N/A
Schedule of Classes
| 11/05/09 - 03/28/10 |
04/05/10 - 05/30/10 |
Spring 2010 Session B - 8 Week session |
| 11/30/09 - 04/25/10 |
05/03/10 - 06/27/10 |
Spring 2010 Session I - 8 Week session |
| 12/28/09 - 05/30/10 |
06/07/10 - 08/01/10 |
Spring 2010 Session D - 8 Week session |
| 01/25/10 - 06/27/10 |
07/05/10 - 08/29/10 |
Summer 2010 Session B - 8 Week session |
| 02/22/10 - 07/25/10 |
08/02/10 - 09/26/10 |
Summer 2010 Session I - 8 Week session |
| 03/29/10 - 08/29/10 |
09/06/10 - 10/31/10 |
Summer 2010 Session D - 8 Week session |
| 04/26/10 - 09/26/10 |
10/04/10 - 11/28/10 |
Fall 2010 Session B - 8 Week session |
| 05/31/10 - 10/24/10 |
11/01/10 - 12/26/10 |
Fall 2010 Session I - 8 Week session |
| 06/28/10 - 11/28/10 |
12/06/10 - 01/30/11 |
Fall 2010 Session D - 8 Week session |
Course Materials
| Book Title: |
Toxic Terror: Assessing Terrorist Use of Chemical and Biological Warfare
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| ISBN: |
0262700719
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| Publication Info: |
Cambridge: MIT Press, 2000
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| Book Title: |
Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators And Proven Analytic Techniques
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| ISBN: |
0810850176
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| Publication Info: |
Scarecrow Press; Lanham, MD, 2004
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| Book Title: |
Out of the Ordinary: Finding Hidden Threats by Analyzing Unusual Behavior-E-book available free on RAND site
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| ISBN: |
0833035207
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| Publication Info: |
Rand, Santa Monica, CA, 2004
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